Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.118923 10.196880 11.360784 12.712437 14.240909 15.917970 17.900508
2025-04-20 7.470349 8.895733 10.542725 12.592394 15.083104 18.021986 21.767764
2025-04-27 6.314521 7.951949 9.962159 12.625322 16.081444 20.442669 26.406745
2025-05-04 5.357090 7.098911 9.359260 12.532160 16.910554 22.796899 31.406200
2025-05-11 4.486922 6.226907 8.601874 12.117776 17.253884 24.580957 36.001687
2025-05-18 3.819449 5.531379 7.980029 11.789779 17.662166 26.525894 41.213423
2025-05-25 3.295040 4.963894 7.457049 11.520977 18.110996 28.607050 47.053784
2025-06-01 2.889074 4.515497 7.046307 11.357040 18.692687 30.994096 53.881557
2025-06-08 2.565748 4.150695 6.713187 11.263281 19.370438 33.655234 61.742490
2025-06-15 2.362282 3.951815 6.619595 11.554453 20.756610 37.791388 73.202077
2025-06-22 2.119804 3.654475 6.318341 11.432105 21.372206 40.627154 82.772130
2025-06-29 1.884680 3.339619 5.944162 11.117849 21.569178 42.690189 91.219719
2025-07-06 1.689735 3.077593 5.640100 10.908865 21.976452 45.331795 101.747492
2025-07-13 1.574451 2.949260 5.569428 11.151685 23.362818 50.322038 118.964811
2025-07-20 1.477457 2.843677 5.528733 11.450987 24.931366 56.050820 139.555681
2025-07-27 1.372868 2.709921 5.414108 11.575775 26.137609 61.209669 160.175566
2025-08-03 1.248027 2.519749 5.158827 11.351119 26.491877 64.396242 176.416638
2025-08-10 1.140834 2.353755 4.933860 11.161813 26.901469 67.822398 194.389922
2025-08-17 1.047529 2.206612 4.731548 10.995510 27.342337 71.438765 214.073249
2025-08-24 0.969827 2.084714 4.570484 10.905245 27.968310 75.711792 237.207517
2025-08-31 0.903468 1.980673 4.437448 10.865184 28.725966 80.542535 263.802471
2025-09-07 0.865857 1.938187 4.443355 11.184114 30.549747 88.965332 305.805028
2025-09-14 0.807372 1.840091 4.303461 11.095375 31.184730 93.894485 336.858470